The only way out of this is to keep alternating between lockdowns and normal business until herd immunity or a vaccine becomes reality, depending on how strained the NHS/hospitals are. Any other route would see the economy or unnecessary deaths. Yeah, I find that number suspect. In any case, isn't the bigger issue a lack of ventilators rather than ICU beds? I imagine its easier to convert beds into ICU beds, but you can't really convert anything into ventilators.