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The Global Coronavirus Pandemic

Discussion in 'Current Affairs' started by Tshabs, Jan 18, 2020.

  1. valefrommow

    valefrommow Registered User

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    It only dropped last couple of days because some hospitals don't publish figures at weekend, they wait until midweek that's why it is difficult to know when the peak is, maybe best comparing each day to same day the following week.

    [​IMG]
     
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  2. RM

    RM Registered User

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    We don’t even know the UK deaths yet. England deaths alone (758) are higher than the previous total UK deaths (708).
     
  3. Villa Rocker

    Villa Rocker A mild bigot, but a bigot nonetheless

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  4. Shane

    Shane Registered

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    Scotland has its highest peak as well. Wales and N.Ireland won’t stop it being the highest now.
     
  5. Tomohawk

    Tomohawk Moderator
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  6. Villa Rocker

    Villa Rocker A mild bigot, but a bigot nonetheless

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    Was my paper of choice at one point
     
  7. RM

    RM Registered User

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    What? I wasn’t disagreeing. It has to be the highest by default if it’s the highest in the UK based on England figures alone.
     
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  8. FranniesTache

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    Interesting point in the FT today (by far and away the best source for news during this i've found) about the under reporting of deaths from Covid

    Subscribe to read | Financial Times
     
  9. Shane

    Shane Registered

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    Oh. Haha
     
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  10. TAFKAP

    TAFKAP Where's Adim?
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  11. Villa Rocker

    Villa Rocker A mild bigot, but a bigot nonetheless

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    I can’t see how they can predict that. I think it’s scaremongering which we could do without.
     
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  12. RM

    RM Registered User

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    It just gets quite being reading constantly contradicting stories. A few days ago it was “lockdown could be lifted next week”. None of it makes any sense anymore so I read the headlines but never bother going any further than that.
     
  13. smogtilldeath

    smogtilldeath Registered User

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    It says the model doesn't take into account the nightingdale hospital constructed in London.

    The model predicts our peak will be in mid April.

    Our expert's forecasts were the NHS would be overflowing at this point. Apparently they are only 3/4 full. The nightingale hospital hasn't even needed to be used (yet)

    Nightingale emergency coronavirus hospital may not be needed as urgently as expected

    I just can't see where this 66,000 is going to come from. Our death rate would have to skyrocket in the next few days for this to happen.

    Take what they're saying with a pinch of salt. They are publishing articles every few hours stating that they think someone has found a cure.
     
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  14. Shane

    Shane Registered

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    The numbers in that article have already been pulled to pieces. Disregard imo.
     
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  15. FranniesTache

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    I for one am shocked, as it's unusual for the Daily Mail to produce an article that's scare mongering and not really based in facts isn't it :whistle
     
  16. StretfordEnd

    StretfordEnd Fools can be kings.
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  17. Cotterill:49

    Cotterill:49 Registered User

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    Here's a further looking in to the situation in Scandanavia, and evidence of the effect of a lockdown policy on the death rate.

    Finland, Norway and Denmark have all imposed strict lockdown restrictions, with Finland having the strictest policy which includes road blocks in to and out of Helsinki. Finland have also considered completely closing their border with Sweden, due to their policies towards the virus.

    In Sweden, the measures are far more relaxed, and no quarantine has been imposed on the public. There are concerning reports about the healthcare system being at breaking point, Swedish hospitals needing to end intensive care treatment for a large number of patients as well as a critical shortage of critical drugs for treating the virus (propofol) in Stockholm.


    nordic 50 (1).JPG
    nordic 50 (2).JPG
    nordic 50 (3).JPG
     
  18. King_Kenny

    King_Kenny .banned

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    Its scary that there are still people out there thinking the herd immunity and no lockdown is the way to go. Its suicidal imo. Lockdown, even a loose lockdown clearly stops the spread.
     
  19. JTC77

    JTC77 Ugistered Reser

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    I know our curve is still increasing, meaning we are still seeing more daily deaths, over a seven day period, but there is movement on our curve, and it looks like we are approaching our peak. I see some positive in that.

    We will continue to see increases in the number of daily deaths, and they will not start coming down for a week or two, but it does look like we are beginning to flatten our curve.

    EDIT: the graph is based on yesterdays numbers, but the pattern should continue, when its updated, just after 10pm tonight.
     
  20. Shane

    Shane Registered

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    Yep. As new cases level out the deaths will still rise for a bit then level off as well.
     

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